TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Xinxin Yao in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Xinxin Yao. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Xinxin Yao in the W35 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Xinxin Yao. This market will resolve to 'Xinxin Yao' if Xinxin Yao advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market continuously adjusts based on real-money trading, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly differs from expert opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Qian Daohu tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are correct. The market efficiently aggregates information from all participants, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu tennis match between Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA and Xinxin Yao. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 1, 2026 resolution.