TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Salakthip Ounmuang and Yara Bartashevich in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salakthip Ounmuang' if Salakthip Ounmuang advances against Yara Bartashevich. This market will resolve to 'Yara Bartashevich' if Yara Bartashevich advances against Salakthip Ounmuang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Salakthip Ounmuang and Yara Bartashevich in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salakthip Ounmuang' if Salakthip Ounmuang advances against Yara Bartashevich. This market will resolve to 'Yara Bartashevich' if Yara Bartashevich advances against Salakthip Ounmuang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the athletes' capabilities. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by a sportsbook, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current trading volume suggests significant interest in this match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Salakthip Ounmuang vs Yara Bartashevich match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to established procedures, but the initial reported outcome will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. News regarding either athlete’s physical condition, training progress, or recent performance could all have an impact. Unexpected announcements about changes to the match schedule or venue could also shift sentiment. Even broader factors, such as shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators, could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 4, 2026.