TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Salakthip Ounmuang and Alina Shcherbinina in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salakthip Ounmuang' if Salakthip Ounmuang advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Salakthip Ounmuang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Salakthip Ounmuang and Alina Shcherbinina in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Salakthip Ounmuang' if Salakthip Ounmuang advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Salakthip Ounmuang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of individuals incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's potential outcomes. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the current consensus view of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information and opinions emerge. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Salakthip Ounmuang vs Alina Shcherbinina match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in the sport, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment can quickly move the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 7, 2026.