TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Reina Goto and Aspen Schuman in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reina Goto' if Reina Goto advances against Aspen Schuman. This market will resolve to 'Aspen Schuman' if Aspen Schuman advances against Reina Goto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Reina Goto and Aspen Schuman in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reina Goto' if Reina Goto advances against Aspen Schuman. This market will resolve to 'Aspen Schuman' if Aspen Schuman advances against Reina Goto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome – in this case, either Reina Goto or Aspen Schuman winning the W35 Norman tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, and changes in volume or significant trades can cause the odds to shift rapidly. This dynamic pricing allows the market to incorporate new information quickly.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Norman tennis match between Reina Goto and Aspen Schuman, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for Reina Goto or Aspen Schuman, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Norman, OK, that might affect playing conditions could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders or shifts in public sentiment could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and the trading activity on the platform will be key to understanding potential shifts.