TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Munk Mortensen and Irina Balus in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Irina Balus. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Munk Mortensen and Irina Balus in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Irina Balus. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when information is asymmetric or public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or forecasts, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not certainties, and can be influenced by various factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share, for example, indicates the probability that Rebecca Munk Mortensen will win the match, while the price of a 'no' share reflects the probability of Irina Balus winning. The closer the price is to 1, the higher the perceived probability.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Norman, OK match between Rebecca Munk Mortensen and Irina Balus. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could shift expectations. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could also impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match itself, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also cause significant movement. Ultimately, any information that alters traders' assessment of the likelihood of either player winning has the potential to move this market.