TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jenna DeFalco and Ashley Lahey in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Ashley Lahey. This market will resolve to 'Ashley Lahey' if Ashley Lahey advances against Jenna DeFalco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jenna DeFalco and Ashley Lahey in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenna DeFalco' if Jenna DeFalco advances against Ashley Lahey. This market will resolve to 'Ashley Lahey' if Ashley Lahey advances against Jenna DeFalco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one competitor, but this market shows a more even split, it could indicate disagreement about underlying factors influencing the outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a dynamic and real-time view of expectations for the DeFalco vs Lahey match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the DeFalco vs Lahey match, as determined by the governing body or official organizers. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive their payout based on the final share price. It’s important to monitor official sources for the match result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Jenna DeFalco or Ashley Lahey could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or schedule could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators can impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s implied probabilities leading up to Nov 5, 2026.