TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Shcherbinina and Dana Guzman in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Dana Guzman. This market will resolve to 'Dana Guzman' if Dana Guzman advances against Alina Shcherbinina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Shcherbinina and Dana Guzman in the W35 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Dana Guzman. This market will resolve to 'Dana Guzman' if Dana Guzman advances against Alina Shcherbinina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a real-time assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shcherbinina vs Guzman match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their holdings in the winning market, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Alina Shcherbinina or Dana Guzman would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies, recent performance data, or even weather conditions (if applicable to the match location) could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also lead to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely move the market.