TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Tiphanie Lemaitre in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Pawlikowska' if Zuzanna Pawlikowska advances against Tiphanie Lemaitre. This market will resolve to 'Tiphanie Lemaitre' if Tiphanie Lemaitre advances against Zuzanna Pawlikowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Tiphanie Lemaitre in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Pawlikowska' if Zuzanna Pawlikowska advances against Tiphanie Lemaitre. This market will resolve to 'Tiphanie Lemaitre' if Tiphanie Lemaitre advances against Zuzanna Pawlikowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, analytical approaches, or simply a broader range of perspectives contributing to this market. It’s a fascinating comparison of collective intelligence versus professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction of traders regarding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zuzanna Pawlikowska versus Tiphanie Lemaitre tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or accept their losses based on the final, verified outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. News regarding player form, injury updates for either Zuzanna Pawlikowska or Tiphanie Lemaitre, or even changes in weather conditions at the Monastir tournament could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also shift perceptions. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the price of shares on Polymarket.