TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Anastasia Bertacchi in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Pawlikowska' if Zuzanna Pawlikowska advances against Anastasia Bertacchi. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Bertacchi' if Anastasia Bertacchi advances against Zuzanna Pawlikowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Anastasia Bertacchi in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Pawlikowska' if Zuzanna Pawlikowska advances against Anastasia Bertacchi. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Bertacchi' if Anastasia Bertacchi advances against Zuzanna Pawlikowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines is available to traders. This difference can create opportunities for arbitrage, though it’s not guaranteed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pawlikowska vs Bertacchi match. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Zuzanna Pawlikowska and Anastasia Bertacchi, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the winner of the match according to the official tournament results, and that information will be used to determine which shares pay out.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule, or even significant changes in weather conditions at the tournament location, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and cause the price to move, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.