TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Milovanova and Kayo Nishimura in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Milovanova' if Victoria Milovanova advances against Kayo Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Victoria Milovanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Milovanova and Kayo Nishimura in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Milovanova' if Victoria Milovanova advances against Kayo Nishimura. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Victoria Milovanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Victoria Milovanova and Kayo Nishimura. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential shifts.