TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Polina Skliar in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Losciale' if Valentina Losciale advances against Polina Skliar. This market will resolve to 'Polina Skliar' if Polina Skliar advances against Valentina Losciale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valentina Losciale and Polina Skliar in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Losciale' if Valentina Losciale advances against Polina Skliar. This market will resolve to 'Polina Skliar' if Polina Skliar advances against Valentina Losciale. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action and public perception, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the diverse perspectives of participants in each venue. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and evolving expectations regarding the Losciale vs Skliar match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Valentina Losciale and Polina Skliar, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as scheduling changes or rule modifications, could also cause shifts in the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.