TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vaishnavi Adkar and Nuria Sarganella Verdu in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vaishnavi Adkar' if Vaishnavi Adkar advances against Nuria Sarganella Verdu. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Sarganella Verdu' if Nuria Sarganella Verdu advances against Vaishnavi Adkar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vaishnavi Adkar and Nuria Sarganella Verdu in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vaishnavi Adkar' if Vaishnavi Adkar advances against Nuria Sarganella Verdu. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Sarganella Verdu' if Nuria Sarganella Verdu advances against Vaishnavi Adkar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, and changes in volume or significant trades can quickly shift the odds. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their chosen outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vaishnavi Adkar versus Nuria Sarganella Verdu tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself, indicating a strong conviction from a particular trader or group, can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on the platform are key to understanding potential shifts in this market.