TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Krejcova and Denisa Zoldakova in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Krejcova' if Tereza Krejcova advances against Denisa Zoldakova. This market will resolve to 'Denisa Zoldakova' if Denisa Zoldakova advances against Tereza Krejcova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tereza Krejcova and Denisa Zoldakova in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Krejcova' if Tereza Krejcova advances against Denisa Zoldakova. This market will resolve to 'Denisa Zoldakova' if Denisa Zoldakova advances against Tereza Krejcova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and collective insight. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share trading at 30 means there is a 30% implied probability of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Tereza Krejcova and Denisa Zoldakova. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.