TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Miron and Adelina Lacinova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Miron' if Teodora Miron advances against Adelina Lacinova. This market will resolve to 'Adelina Lacinova' if Adelina Lacinova advances against Teodora Miron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Miron and Adelina Lacinova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Miron' if Teodora Miron advances against Adelina Lacinova. This market will resolve to 'Adelina Lacinova' if Adelina Lacinova advances against Teodora Miron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders disagree with the sportsbook’s assessment, the odds on Polymarket will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information is publicly available, or when there’s strong public sentiment influencing both markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is determined by the share price, which is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Major shifts in betting volume on Polymarket would also be a strong signal of changing expectations.