TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Camila Rojas and Nina Sozaonova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Camila Rojas' if Sofia Camila Rojas advances against Nina Sozaonova. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Sofia Camila Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Camila Rojas and Nina Sozaonova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Camila Rojas' if Sofia Camila Rojas advances against Nina Sozaonova. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Sofia Camila Rojas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights, though it’s important to remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sofia Camila Rojas versus Nina Sozaonova match in Monastir, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact the odds. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.