TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Severine Deppner and Morakane Molaoa in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Severine Deppner' if Severine Deppner advances against Morakane Molaoa. This market will resolve to 'Morakane Molaoa' if Morakane Molaoa advances against Severine Deppner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Severine Deppner and Morakane Molaoa in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Severine Deppner' if Severine Deppner advances against Morakane Molaoa. This market will resolve to 'Morakane Molaoa' if Morakane Molaoa advances against Severine Deppner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Severine Deppner and Morakane Molaoa, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also affect the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements.