TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Berezina and Camila Zouein Yanez in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Berezina' if Polina Berezina advances against Camila Zouein Yanez. This market will resolve to 'Camila Zouein Yanez' if Camila Zouein Yanez advances against Polina Berezina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Berezina and Camila Zouein Yanez in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Berezina' if Polina Berezina advances against Camila Zouein Yanez. This market will resolve to 'Camila Zouein Yanez' if Camila Zouein Yanez advances against Polina Berezina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own information and analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds adjust based on demand.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Polina Berezina and Camila Zouein Yanez. The platform will determine the winner based on publicly available match results and standings, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large-volume participants could cause noticeable price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or tennis analysis, might also play a role in influencing traders’ decisions leading up to Oct 13, 2026.