TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriana Gniewkowska and nour sahnoun in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriana Gniewkowska and nour sahnoun in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. Generally, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s strong participation and information available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating on Polymarket, and can be influenced by news, analysis, and other relevant information.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Oriana Gniewkowska and nour sahnoun. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any expert analysis or public opinion shifts regarding the players' chances of winning could drive changes in the price of shares on Polymarket.