TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between nour sahnoun and Elena Milovanovic in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Elena Milovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Elena Milovanovic' if Elena Milovanovic advances against nour sahnoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between nour sahnoun and Elena Milovanovic in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Elena Milovanovic. This market will resolve to 'Elena Milovanovic' if Elena Milovanovic advances against nour sahnoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, differences can emerge due to varying information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event like the Sahnoun vs. Milovanovic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Sahnoun vs. Milovanovic match. The current implied probability of a specific outcome can be calculated from the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sahnoun vs. Milovanovic match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' preparation, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders can create short-term price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability for the Sahnoun vs. Milovanovic match. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trading activity.