TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Sozaonova and Eloise Newberry in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Eloise Newberry. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Newberry' if Eloise Newberry advances against Nina Sozaonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Sozaonova and Eloise Newberry in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Eloise Newberry. This market will resolve to 'Eloise Newberry' if Eloise Newberry advances against Nina Sozaonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Monastir tennis match, they can take the opposite position. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds becoming more accurate, or at least representing a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven entirely by supply and demand, making it a fascinating indicator of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Nina Sozaonova and Eloise Newberry. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available information from official tennis authorities. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could influence trader sentiment. For example, if Nina Sozaonova were to withdraw from the match due to injury, the market would likely shift dramatically in favor of Eloise Newberry. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause fluctuations. Even general shifts in public opinion, as reflected by social media or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and the price of shares in this market.