TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moran JIN and nour sahnoun in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moran JIN' if Moran JIN advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Moran JIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moran JIN and nour sahnoun in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moran JIN' if Moran JIN advances against nour sahnoun. This market will resolve to 'nour sahnoun' if nour sahnoun advances against Moran JIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s probability. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds continuously adjust as new information and opinions are incorporated into the market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Moran JIN and nour sahnoun. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, with a clear winner established according to standard tennis scoring rules. The final result will then be used to determine which shares pay out.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match performances, could impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also influence the perceived chances of each player. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to a rapid adjustment in the market’s probabilities.