TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Milla Sequeira and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milla Sequeira' if Milla Sequeira advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Milla Sequeira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Milla Sequeira and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milla Sequeira' if Milla Sequeira advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Milla Sequeira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and profit margins, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market perceives a different probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Milla Sequeira and Oriana Gniewkowska. The player who wins the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s guidelines, but the initial official result will be the primary determinant.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also lead to reassessments of their relative strengths. Furthermore, any significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities reflected in this market.