TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Midori Castillo Meza and Tereza Krejcova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Midori Castillo Meza' if Midori Castillo Meza advances against Tereza Krejcova. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Krejcova' if Tereza Krejcova advances against Midori Castillo Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Midori Castillo Meza and Tereza Krejcova in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Midori Castillo Meza' if Midori Castillo Meza advances against Tereza Krejcova. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Krejcova' if Tereza Krejcova advances against Midori Castillo Meza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the prediction market price to diverge from the sportsbook’s offering. This difference can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Castillo Meza vs Krejcova match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived probability of each player winning, as new information and analysis emerge. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Midori Castillo Meza and Tereza Krejcova, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price swings. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in market sentiment and inform trading strategies for this match.