TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Ankudinova and Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Ankudinova' if Mariya Ankudinova advances against Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta' if Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta advances against Mariya Ankudinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariya Ankudinova and Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Ankudinova' if Mariya Ankudinova advances against Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta. This market will resolve to 'Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta' if Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta advances against Mariya Ankudinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Mariya Ankudinova and Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide insights into potential catalysts that might move this market before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution.