TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Polina Berezina in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Polina Berezina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Berezina' if Polina Berezina advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Polina Berezina in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Polina Berezina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Berezina' if Polina Berezina advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, while this market allows a wider range of participants to contribute their knowledge and insights. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market agrees, or if traders believe there’s a mispricing. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors that might influence the match’s outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on new information and changing sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the Vogt vs Berezina match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vogt vs Berezina match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Marie Vogt or Polina Berezina might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Public announcements about player fitness or tactical adjustments are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for making informed trading decisions.