TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayo Nishimura and Marie Vogt in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Marie Vogt. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Kayo Nishimura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kayo Nishimura and Marie Vogt in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Marie Vogt. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Kayo Nishimura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to news and events related to the Nishimura vs Vogt match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nishimura vs Vogt match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likely winner of this tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Kayo Nishimura and Marie Vogt. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities to verify the winner and finalize the market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is confirmed and the outcome is officially recorded.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Kayo Nishimura or Marie Vogt, or changes in playing conditions would likely cause the odds to shift. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in similar tournaments or shifts in expert analysis could all contribute to movement in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.