TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Hinojosa Gomez and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Hinojosa Gomez' if Jessica Hinojosa Gomez advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Jessica Hinojosa Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Hinojosa Gomez and Oriana Gniewkowska in the W35 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Hinojosa Gomez' if Jessica Hinojosa Gomez advances against Oriana Gniewkowska. This market will resolve to 'Oriana Gniewkowska' if Oriana Gniewkowska advances against Jessica Hinojosa Gomez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, meaning that the more people believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Jessica Hinojosa Gomez and Oriana Gniewkowska. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Monastir that might favor one player’s playing style could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could impact trading activity and move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move the market.