TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Haavisto and Coco Bosman in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella Haavisto' if Ella Haavisto advances against Coco Bosman. This market will resolve to 'Coco Bosman' if Coco Bosman advances against Ella Haavisto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Haavisto and Coco Bosman in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella Haavisto' if Ella Haavisto advances against Coco Bosman. This market will resolve to 'Coco Bosman' if Coco Bosman advances against Ella Haavisto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house biases into their lines, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Haavisto vs Bosman match. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Haavisto vs Bosman match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Monastir match between Ella Haavisto and Coco Bosman. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Haavisto or Bosman, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of the players’ overall performance. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.