TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Haavisto and Amelia Paszun in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella Haavisto' if Ella Haavisto advances against Amelia Paszun. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Paszun' if Amelia Paszun advances against Ella Haavisto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella Haavisto and Amelia Paszun in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella Haavisto' if Ella Haavisto advances against Amelia Paszun. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Paszun' if Amelia Paszun advances against Ella Haavisto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, the prediction market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, as this market is driven by informed speculation and a diverse range of opinions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares, creating a dynamic and real-time probability estimate for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Ella Haavisto and Amelia Paszun. The platform will use publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their shares after the event concludes and the outcome is verified.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Additionally, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a change in sentiment and drive price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and events will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches and unfolds.