TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Tupitsyna and Jenny Lim in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Tupitsyna' if Ekaterina Tupitsyna advances against Jenny Lim. This market will resolve to 'Jenny Lim' if Jenny Lim advances against Ekaterina Tupitsyna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Tupitsyna and Jenny Lim in the W35 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Tupitsyna' if Ekaterina Tupitsyna advances against Jenny Lim. This market will resolve to 'Jenny Lim' if Jenny Lim advances against Ekaterina Tupitsyna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust based on the collective wisdom of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who held shares representing the winning player will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Changes in weather conditions at the Monastir venue could also play a role, as these can affect player performance. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, or even broader tennis news, could also cause fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to impact this market.