TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maryia Magro and Angelica Raggi in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Magro' if Maryia Magro advances against Angelica Raggi. This market will resolve to 'Angelica Raggi' if Angelica Raggi advances against Maryia Magro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maryia Magro and Angelica Raggi in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Magro' if Maryia Magro advances against Angelica Raggi. This market will resolve to 'Angelica Raggi' if Angelica Raggi advances against Maryia Magro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information becomes available. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Malta tennis match between Maryia Magro and Angelica Raggi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries or changes in form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over another. Any updates on player rankings or recent match results could also lead to price adjustments as traders reassess the probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning has the potential to move this market.