TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Kozakova and Sandy Mamini in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Kozakova' if Kristina Kozakova advances against Sandy Mamini. This market will resolve to 'Sandy Mamini' if Sandy Mamini advances against Kristina Kozakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Kozakova and Sandy Mamini in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Kozakova' if Kristina Kozakova advances against Sandy Mamini. This market will resolve to 'Sandy Mamini' if Sandy Mamini advances against Kristina Kozakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency depends on the level of trading activity and the information available to traders, which can lead to price adjustments as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kozakova vs Mamini match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Kristina Kozakova or Sandy Mamini would likely cause significant movement. Changes in their recent performance, announcements about their training regimens, or even shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader competitive landscape, such as the performance of other athletes in the same event, might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess the overall probabilities.