TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Perera Vega and Lara Wagner in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Perera Vega' if Julia Perera Vega advances against Lara Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Lara Wagner' if Lara Wagner advances against Julia Perera Vega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Perera Vega and Lara Wagner in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Perera Vega' if Julia Perera Vega advances against Lara Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Lara Wagner' if Lara Wagner advances against Julia Perera Vega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders making their own assessments. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various potential results of the Perera Vega vs Wagner match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Perera Vega vs Wagner match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as court surface or weather (if applicable), could also play a role. Publicly available analysis from sports experts and shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also contribute to price movements in this market.