TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialin Tian and Clarissa Gai in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialin Tian' if Jialin Tian advances against Clarissa Gai. This market will resolve to 'Clarissa Gai' if Clarissa Gai advances against Jialin Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialin Tian and Clarissa Gai in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialin Tian' if Jialin Tian advances against Clarissa Gai. This market will resolve to 'Clarissa Gai' if Clarissa Gai advances against Jialin Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract betting action, while this market allows participants to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information available to each group, or simply because the prediction market aggregates a wider range of perspectives on the Jialin Tian vs Clarissa Gai match. It's often useful to compare both to gain a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jialin Tian vs Clarissa Gai match, and the price of these shares reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Jialin Tian will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jialin Tian vs Clarissa Gai match, as determined by the governing body of the W35 Malta competition. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on whether the predicted outcome occurred. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Jialin Tian or Clarissa Gai, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in rankings, recent match performance, or strategic announcements could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader W35 Malta competition, or even weather conditions affecting the match, could introduce new information and cause the market to adjust its predictions regarding the Jialin Tian vs Clarissa Gai match.