TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Valentini Grammatikopoulou in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Valentini Grammatikopoulou. This market will resolve to 'Valentini Grammatikopoulou' if Valentini Grammatikopoulou advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Valentini Grammatikopoulou in the W35 Malta, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Valentini Grammatikopoulou. This market will resolve to 'Valentini Grammatikopoulou' if Valentini Grammatikopoulou advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into market perceptions and potential value bets, though it's important to remember that neither source is always perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions shift. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Urgesi vs Grammatikopoulou match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Even social media buzz and expert analysis could contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.