TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisiia Bodnar and Sophia Arpa in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisiia Bodnar' if Alisiia Bodnar advances against Sophia Arpa. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Arpa' if Sophia Arpa advances against Alisiia Bodnar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisiia Bodnar and Sophia Arpa in the W35 Malta, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisiia Bodnar' if Alisiia Bodnar advances against Sophia Arpa. This market will resolve to 'Sophia Arpa' if Sophia Arpa advances against Alisiia Bodnar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Malta match between Alisiia Bodnar and Sophia Arpa. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Alisiia Bodnar or Sophia Arpa could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering strong opinions on the match could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader W35 Malta tournament, or even general shifts in public perception of the players' capabilities, could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.