TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariella Thamm and Maria Martinez Vaquero in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against Maria Martinez Vaquero. This market will resolve to 'Maria Martinez Vaquero' if Maria Martinez Vaquero advances against Mariella Thamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariella Thamm and Maria Martinez Vaquero in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against Maria Martinez Vaquero. This market will resolve to 'Maria Martinez Vaquero' if Maria Martinez Vaquero advances against Mariella Thamm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, they can create discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or changing sentiment surrounding the Thamm vs Martinez Vaquero match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Thamm vs Martinez Vaquero match will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will depend on official results published by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match schedules could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the Thamm vs Martinez Vaquero match approaches.