TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Mair and Aran Teixido Garcia in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Aran Teixido Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Aran Teixido Garcia' if Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Mair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Mair and Aran Teixido Garcia in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Aran Teixido Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Aran Teixido Garcia' if Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Laura Mair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion between market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what the market as a whole believes is the likelihood of each player winning the Loule tennis match, making it a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Loule tennis match between Laura Mair and Aran Teixido Garcia. The player who wins the match, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential protests or disputes will be resolved according to the official tournament rules and regulations before the market is settled.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before the resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Loule event might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as traders react to new information or adjust their predictions.