TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialin Tian and Laura Mair in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialin Tian' if Jialin Tian advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Jialin Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jialin Tian and Laura Mair in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jialin Tian' if Jialin Tian advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Jialin Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market odds shift as new information becomes available, potentially leading to differences compared to fixed sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a market-driven probability estimate for the Jialin Tian vs Laura Mair match, distinct from pre-event analyses.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jialin Tian vs Laura Mair match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Jialin Tian or Laura Mair could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also lead to adjustments. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns, can drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 29, 2026.