TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Adeshina and Gabriela Agra Amorim in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Adeshina' if Esther Adeshina advances against Gabriela Agra Amorim. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Agra Amorim' if Gabriela Agra Amorim advances against Esther Adeshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Esther Adeshina and Gabriela Agra Amorim in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Esther Adeshina' if Esther Adeshina advances against Gabriela Agra Amorim. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Agra Amorim' if Gabriela Agra Amorim advances against Esther Adeshina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. This can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares indicates the market’s collective prediction of the likelihood of that outcome occurring. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Loule tennis match between Esther Adeshina and Gabriela Agra Amorim. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player emerged victorious and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury status, or changes in their coaching staff could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location or significant upsets in other matches could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting changes in overall market confidence.