TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlotta Moccia and Weronika Falkowska in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Weronika Falkowska. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Falkowska' if Weronika Falkowska advances against Carlotta Moccia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlotta Moccia and Weronika Falkowska in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Weronika Falkowska. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Falkowska' if Weronika Falkowska advances against Carlotta Moccia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Loule tennis match between Carlotta Moccia and Weronika Falkowska, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, if Carlotta Moccia were to withdraw from another tournament due to injury, it could lower confidence in her chances, impacting the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the Loule tournament could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.