TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilla Zanolini and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Zanolini' if Camilla Zanolini advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Camilla Zanolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilla Zanolini and Miroslava Medvedeva in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Zanolini' if Camilla Zanolini advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Camilla Zanolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the probabilities implied by this market to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal areas where the crowd disagrees with the experts, providing a potentially valuable insight for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Zanolini vs Medvedeva match. The price of a 'yes' share indicates the probability of Camilla Zanolini winning, while the price of a 'no' share reflects the probability of Miroslava Medvedeva winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zanolini will win, the 'yes' share price increases. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zanolini vs Medvedeva match as determined by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine whether Camilla Zanolini or Miroslava Medvedeva emerged as the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of an injury to either Zanolini or Medvedeva would likely impact the odds. Additionally, analysis from tennis experts, unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks, or even social media sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential shifts in market sentiment and inform trading decisions.