TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aran Teixido Garcia and Sophie Luescher in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aran Teixido Garcia' if Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Sophie Luescher. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Aran Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aran Teixido Garcia and Sophie Luescher in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aran Teixido Garcia' if Aran Teixido Garcia advances against Sophie Luescher. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Luescher' if Sophie Luescher advances against Aran Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Polymarket in that direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. It's common to see this market offer odds that diverge from those found at conventional sportsbooks, offering a potentially valuable alternative for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their views through their trading activity. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Loule tennis match—which player wins—will be used to determine the winning share. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely accepted sources to verify the outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the correct outcome is reflected in the market's settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price swings. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement before Oct 30, 2026.