TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Angela Fita Boluda and Mariella Thamm in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angela Fita Boluda' if Angela Fita Boluda advances against Mariella Thamm. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against Angela Fita Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Angela Fita Boluda and Mariella Thamm in the W35 Loule, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angela Fita Boluda' if Angela Fita Boluda advances against Mariella Thamm. This market will resolve to 'Mariella Thamm' if Mariella Thamm advances against Angela Fita Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell their predictions. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate a disagreement about the likely outcome or differing levels of information available to each group. It's important to consider both when forming your own assessment of the Fita Boluda vs Thamm match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and opinions of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fita Boluda vs Thamm match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the players' form or fitness could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could quickly move the market, as could any shifts in public opinion reflected in other sources of information. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.