TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karla Bartel and Yekaterina Dmitrichenko in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karla Bartel' if Karla Bartel advances against Yekaterina Dmitrichenko. This market will resolve to 'Yekaterina Dmitrichenko' if Yekaterina Dmitrichenko advances against Karla Bartel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karla Bartel and Yekaterina Dmitrichenko in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karla Bartel' if Karla Bartel advances against Yekaterina Dmitrichenko. This market will resolve to 'Yekaterina Dmitrichenko' if Yekaterina Dmitrichenko advances against Karla Bartel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of expertise among participants. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the Bartel vs Dmitrichenko match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bartel vs Dmitrichenko match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Public statements from coaches or players, as well as expert analysis, might also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as weather conditions or controversies, could also cause the market to react. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely lead to price movements.