TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Duru Soke in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Duru Soke. This market will resolve to 'Duru Soke' if Duru Soke advances against Francesca Mattioli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Mattioli and Duru Soke in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Duru Soke. This market will resolve to 'Duru Soke' if Duru Soke advances against Francesca Mattioli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adapts to new information and changing expectations regarding the Mattioli vs Soke match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mattioli vs Soke match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Francesca Mattioli or Duru Soke, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their training regimens, tactical approaches, or coaching changes could also move the market. Furthermore, any public statements from the athletes themselves or their teams, or even shifts in broader public sentiment, could influence traders' perceptions and lead to changes in the price of shares.