TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Maklakova and Victoria Rodriguez in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Maklakova' if Ekaterina Maklakova advances against Victoria Rodriguez. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Rodriguez' if Victoria Rodriguez advances against Ekaterina Maklakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Maklakova and Victoria Rodriguez in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Maklakova' if Ekaterina Maklakova advances against Victoria Rodriguez. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Rodriguez' if Victoria Rodriguez advances against Ekaterina Maklakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain result, they can express that view by trading in this market. This can lead to odds that are more accurate, or at least represent a broader range of opinions than those found at traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment about the Maklakova vs Rodriguez match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maklakova vs Rodriguez match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in venue or scheduling, could also lead to significant price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for shifts in the market before Oct 13, 2026.