TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edda Mamedova and Francesca Mattioli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edda Mamedova' if Edda Mamedova advances against Francesca Mattioli. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Edda Mamedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edda Mamedova and Francesca Mattioli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edda Mamedova' if Edda Mamedova advances against Francesca Mattioli. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Edda Mamedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the fighters’ chances.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mamedova vs Mattioli match as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, public analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading activity on Polymarket and influence the odds.