TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Noel and Jessica Bernales in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Noel' if Chloe Noel advances against Jessica Bernales. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bernales' if Jessica Bernales advances against Chloe Noel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Noel and Jessica Bernales in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Noel' if Chloe Noel advances against Jessica Bernales. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bernales' if Jessica Bernales advances against Chloe Noel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and evolving perspectives regarding the Noel vs Bernales match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Chloe Noel versus Jessica Bernales match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result confirmation.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, potential injuries, or changes in their physical condition could significantly shift trader sentiment. Pre-fight analysis from reputable sources, including expert predictions and performance statistics, may also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in perceived probabilities regarding the match’s outcome.