TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anita Sahdiieva and Francesca Mattioli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anita Sahdiieva' if Anita Sahdiieva advances against Francesca Mattioli. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Anita Sahdiieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anita Sahdiieva and Francesca Mattioli in the W35 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anita Sahdiieva' if Anita Sahdiieva advances against Francesca Mattioli. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Mattioli' if Francesca Mattioli advances against Anita Sahdiieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, may incorporate different information and perspectives, leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there’s significant public interest and available data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Las Vegas, NV match between Anita Sahdiieva and Francesca Mattioli. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand the basis for resolution.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the tournament schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news, expert analysis, and the trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 13, 2026.